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Gold Q2 and H1 Update: Price Breakout, More Ahead?

This report briefly examines the performance of gold and other major asset classes during the second quarter of 2019, alongside YTD performances. We also highlight the specific conditions that could impact the gold market going forward.

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Chuck Ponzi Treks to the Oil Patch: A Dangerous Corporate Debt Bubble

On any given day, you can find numerous articles about the hazards posed by our federal debt, municipal debt, consumer debt, and so on. The list is long and plenty scary. But there is surprisingly little talk about one of the most dangerous situations of all: the trouble in America’s recently booming oil patch.

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Decades Long Bond Market Bubble Shows Signs of Weakening (‘Nowhere to Run’ Part 3)

Virtually anyone looking at the markets today can sense that something is a bit amiss, that there is a disconnect with reality. The hard part of making use of such a sense is quantifying just how out of whack things are, and when the inevitable reality reconnect will occur. Especially when dealing with cycles that can last much longer than the typical stock market whipsaw each decade. Perspective is important, as is watching the long term indicators — more and more of which are showing overheated markets.

We started our ‘Nowhere to Run’ series with looks at the wildly overvalued stock market, and a bubbly housing market. Today we tackle the world’s biggest market:  bonds, and their unsustainable valuation.

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The New Housing Market Bubble

We’ve forgotten the lessons of just ten years ago, when speculative buying fed a massive bubble. It's an unsustainable trend. It must end, and will end badly for those left holding the bag. When the new housing market bubble pops, the prudent investor is going to want to be holding the only investment sector not currently in the midst of extraordinary overvaluation: hard assets.

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It’s Official: Gold & Silver Prices Now at Inflation-Adjusted 50-Year Lows

Guest Contributor and GoldSilver Senior Precious Metals Analyst Jeff Clark has discovered an incredible statistic: using the original CPI inflation equation (circa 1980, before it was changed, and changed, and changed again to suit politicians' agendas), both gold and silver are at 50-year inflation-adjusted price lows.

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Faded gold bars
Don’t Even Think About Selling Precious Metals Now

Virtually anyone looking at the markets today can sense that something is a bit amiss, a disconnect with reality. The hard part with such sense is often quantifying just how out of whack things have gotten, and when it might reverse. More and more we are seeing reliable indicators that show not just one but nearly all markets are overheating, leaving almost nowhere to run.

As part of an ongoing series, today we'll show how Federal Reserve and other governmental policy has resulted in an unprecedented situation: bubbles that span across all risk-assets, leaving investors with few options to invest their money other than in those very bubbles… with one notable exception: precious metals.

Right now precious metals are currently at historical — and even multi-generational — lows vs. stocks, bonds, and real estate. Unsustainable debt issuances have underpinned the longest uninterrupted asset-price inflationary cycle ever: federal debt, global debt, student debt, auto debt, and more. The result: rarely have gold or silver looked so compelling relative to other assets.

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Childhood Lessons About Paper Money Peter Will Never Forget

Growing up in Europe, I have always been fascinated by its history and how it manifests everywhere you look. Every building, be it an ordinary house or a glorious monument, wears the marks of historic events, which remind us about past successes and failures.

I feel the world would be a much better place if we all were better students of history and learned from the mistakes our elders made. Unfortunately, as generations change, we tend to forget the horrors of the past, allowing the forces that be to repeat the same mistakes.

In my youth, I was lucky enough to hear countless stories from elders about life during World War I and World War II. As much as I like to read about history, nothing compares to accounts from people who experienced it firsthand. This is one of the reasons I started this series of articles featuring our customers’ stories and what they learned from their experiences.

Today, Peter W. from South Africa is sharing his early childhood lessons about money with us.

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Why It’s Time to Increase Your Allocation to Silver

People love bargains. They will travel miles to find an item they want on sale.

But this behavior is rarely present in investing. Driven by fear of missing out, all too often investors follow the herd and buy assets in a bubble. 

Do you remember the investment craze when the Nasdaq was trading at 5,000 in early 2000? Or Bitcoin above $19,000 last December? The mania quickly turned into devastating losses.

Conversely, when Goldman Sachs was trading at $52 in November of 2008 or GE under $7 in March of 2009, few investors had the guts to buy amid collapsing markets. 

Only true value investors like Warren Buffett were buying.

My point is that forward-looking investors should always look for value in unloved assets that are trading near lows. That’s especially important in a world of low yields.

Today, gold trades under $1,300/oz. It’s been out of favor for more than seven years after it reached all-time highs in 2011 and some pundits were predicting $10,000 an ounce or more.

Look, gold is now trading at a 35% discount from its previous high.  It is truly a bargain in a world laden with record levels of debt and artificially inflated financial assets. 

In the long run, therefore, gold has nowhere to go but up!  However, there is an even more attractive investment you can get into today.

It’s silver.

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